Applied Statistics Class 7 Spring 2022.
A statistic is a function of a random sample which is a list of n independent random variables from the same population distribution.
The sample mean and sample variance are prominent examples which are unbiased point estimators for the population mean and variance.
The method of moments is used to find point estimators for the parameters α and β of a Gamma Distribution.
This is used to model the Chutes and Ladders game.
Probability and Statistics with Applications: A Problem Solving Text by Asimow and Maxwell
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0:00 Applied statistics should be grounded in theoretical mathematical statistics
0:45 Chutes and Ladders Mathematica simulation
5:26 Ultimate goal: relate this to a Gamma distribution
7:26 Want to make the graph of the PDF match the histogram
11:21 Populations and samples both practically and theoretically
13:42 Population and random sample of random variables independent and identically distributed random variables
15:59 Joint PDF of X1X2...Xn is the product of n values of the PDF of X
19:38 Parameters for the population such as mean and median
24:06 Statistics based on the random sample as random variables
26:19 Sample mean statistic estimator of the population mean μ
27:35 Sample variance estimator of population variance σ2
29:21 S2 is an unbiased estimator for σ2
30:34 X bar is an unbiased estimator for μ
35:40 Proof that ES2σ2 is in the appendix
38:02 Variance of the sample mean: VarX bar
43:16 Target practice analogy
46:06 The sample mean is a consistent estimator for the population mean μ
47:44 An estimator is a statistic which is a random variable based on a random sample of independent random variables from the same distribution
48:48 Back to the Gamma distribution example Chutes and Ladders simulation
50:31 EXαβ and VarXαβ2
51:49 Can find estimators for α and β
52:26 Method of Moments estimators for α and β parameters of a Gamma distribution
57:23 Solve the system of nonlinear equations
59:17 Replace α and β with their estimators
1:00:31 Observed values estimates for Chutes and Ladders simulation
1:02:02 Observed value m2 of logical estimator for second moment EX2
1:04:47 Observed estimates of α and β
1:07:23 Other topics in mathematical statistics
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